Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 03/08, 16:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Aidan Mayo
Team pages: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez · Aidan Mayo
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
5-5 (W-L)
Aidan Mayo
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1525 · Aidan Mayo 1516
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Aidan Mayo dominates on serve: 7.8 aces and 41.9% break avg.
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.7 | 14.3-13 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 38.2% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/04 | Mees Rottgering M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Alex Hernandez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/04 | Timo Legout M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/07 | James Duckworth ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Evan King ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 20/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 54% to Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.