Tennis · M25 Fano · 03/08, 12:00

Prediction: Nicolo Toffanin vs Tobia Grandinetti

Team pages: Nicolo Toffanin · Tobia Grandinetti

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Nicolo Toffanin Tobia Grandinetti
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolo Toffanin 3-7 (W-L)
WWWLLLLLLL
Tobia Grandinetti 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nicolo Toffanin 1454 · Tobia Grandinetti 1434
Nicolo ToffaninTobia Grandinetti
Our model53%47%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Nicolo Toffanin makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Nicolo ToffaninTobia Grandinetti
Win %30%30%
Win % · Clay 38% (8) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.50.8-1.6
Games (G-P)9.8-12.36.7-10.6
Aces1.41.1
Double faults4.13.3
1st serve %52.8%54.9%
Break %53.3%44%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nicolo Toffanin

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Gabriel Sardo
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
1-2 17-16 L
15/07 Alexander Gschiel
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Gabriele Vulpitta
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 10-13 L
02/07 Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
01/07 Facundo Yunis
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 16-16 W
24/06 Vincent Dullinger
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay
1-2 9-12 L
16/06 Alessandro Spadola
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
15/06 Riccardo Di Vita
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/06 Duje Ajdukovic
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
09/06 Andrej Blagojevic
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-0 11-3 W

Tobia Grandinetti

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Tomasz Berkieta
M15 Umag · ~Clay
1-2 11-13 L
29/06 Facundo Yunis
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
23/06 Giovanni Oradini
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
22/06 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 9-10 W
09/06 Pietro Marino
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
08/06 Simone Macchione
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W
01/06 Jacopo Borsoi
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
28/04 Julian Cundom
M25 Lujan · ~Clay
1-2 8-10 L
26/03 Ignacio Monzon
M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay
0-2 2-7 L
25/03 Diego Jarry Fillol
M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nicolo Toffanin vs Tobia Grandinetti?

Our model gives 63% to Nicolo Toffanin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.