Tennis · M25 Tauste · 04/08, 10:00
Prediction: Samuel Heredia vs Luca Potenza
Team pages: Samuel Heredia · Luca Potenza
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuel Heredia
Luca Potenza
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Samuel Heredia
7-3 (W-L)
Luca Potenza
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuel Heredia 1510 · Luca Potenza 1510
| Samuel Heredia | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Samuel Heredia makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Samuel Heredia | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11.9 | 11.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuel Heredia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/07 | John Echeverria Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Luca Potenza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Elmer Moller Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 07/06 | Massimo Giunta M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Gabriele Piraino M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuel Heredia vs Luca Potenza?
Our model gives 56% to Luca Potenza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.