Tennis · M25 Tauste · 04/08, 10:00
Prediction: Aryan Shah vs Louis Larue
Team pages: Aryan Shah · Louis Larue
Prediction summary
Winner
Aryan Shah
Louis Larue
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aryan Shah
4-6 (W-L)
Louis Larue
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aryan Shah 1416 · Louis Larue 1450
| Aryan Shah | Louis Larue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Aryan Shah makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Aryan Shah | Louis Larue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-13 | 10.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aryan Shah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Matusevich M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Dominik Recek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/03 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Morelos · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/02 | Ben Jones Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/01 | Luca Pow M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 06/01 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Digvijay Pratap Singh ITF M15 Gwalior |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Louis Larue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Lui Maxted M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Romain Andres M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Seydina Andre M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Giammarco Gandolfi M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Moritz Kudernatsch M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Otso Martikainen M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Arthur Weber M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aryan Shah vs Louis Larue?
Our model gives 61% to Aryan Shah, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.