Tennis · M25 Tauste · 04/08, 10:00
Prediction: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Pavlos Tsitsipas · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Pavlos Tsitsipas
5-5 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1529 · Dominik Palan 1535
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Pavlos Tsitsipas dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 48.9% break avg.
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Pavlos Tsitsipas | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.2 | 12.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Roan Jones M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James McGloughlin M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Vasco L Prata M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Aren Baybars M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 06/07 | Yeray Andres Pastor M25 Roda de Bara |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/07 | David Naharro M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Max Basing Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Adam Martin Espinar Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/06 | David Poljak Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/06 | John Sperle Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 66% to Dominik Palan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.