Tennis · M25 Tauste · 04/08, 10:00
Prediction: Tristan McCormick vs Izan Almazan Valiente
Team pages: Tristan McCormick · Izan Almazan Valiente
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan McCormick
Izan Almazan Valiente
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan McCormick
6-4 (W-L)
Izan Almazan Valiente
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan McCormick 1499 · Izan Almazan Valiente 1539
| Tristan McCormick | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1499 vs 1539).
Statistics
| Tristan McCormick | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.3 | 12.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 59.2% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/07 | William Mroz Mroz M25 Champaign |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Kyle Mcnally M25 Champaign |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Michael Antonius M15 Rochester |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Jerrid Gaines Jr M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Sulaiman Syed M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Facundo Mena Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/05 | Quinn Vandecasteele M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alastair Gray Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan McCormick vs Izan Almazan Valiente?
Our model gives 63% to Izan Almazan Valiente, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.