Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 03/08, 09:30
Prediction: Valentin Basel vs Pietro Marino
Team pages: Valentin Basel · Pietro Marino
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Basel
Pietro Marino
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Basel
6-4 (W-L)
Pietro Marino
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Basel 1489 · Pietro Marino 1530
| Valentin Basel | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pietro Marino (rating 1489 vs 1530).
Statistics
| Valentin Basel | Pietro Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.2 | 11.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 39% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Basel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Salvador Price Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/05 | Benjamin Chelia Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/05 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Pietro Marino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Michael Zhu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Luca Parenti M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sydney Zick M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Basel vs Pietro Marino?
Our model gives 63% to Pietro Marino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.