Prediction: Justin Schlageter vs Gabriele Crivellaro
Team pages: Justin Schlageter · Gabriele Crivellaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Justin Schlageter
Gabriele Crivellaro
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Justin Schlageter
5-5 (W-L)
Gabriele Crivellaro
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Justin Schlageter 1479 · Gabriele Crivellaro 1472
| Justin Schlageter | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Justin Schlageter dominates on serve: 6 aces and 42.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Justin Schlageter | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12.8 | 7.8-11 |
| Aces | 6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Justin Schlageter
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Noah Schlagenhauf M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Felix Einig M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Matteo Covato M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Noah Karma M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 02/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Adrian Andreev M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Nik Mikovic M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Justin Schlageter vs Gabriele Crivellaro?
Our model gives 57% to Justin Schlageter, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.