Prediction: Federico Arnaboldi vs Niccolo Ciavarella
Team pages: Federico Arnaboldi · Niccolo Ciavarella
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Arnaboldi
Niccolo Ciavarella
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Arnaboldi
7-3 (W-L)
Niccolo Ciavarella
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federico Arnaboldi
1–0
Niccolo Ciavarella
(1 last)
- 23 Jun2-1 16-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Arnaboldi 1567 · Niccolo Ciavarella 1395
| Federico Arnaboldi | Niccolo Ciavarella | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Arnaboldi (rating 1567 vs 1395).
- Federico Arnaboldi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Federico Arnaboldi 1–0 Niccolo Ciavarella (1).
Statistics
| Federico Arnaboldi | Niccolo Ciavarella | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 0% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8 | 7.5-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.6% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Federico Arnaboldi 1 – 0 Niccolo Ciavarella (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Arnaboldi 1–0 Niccolo Ciavarella
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 M15 Bergamo | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Arnaboldi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Sandro Kopp M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Peter Buldorini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Peetu Pohjola Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Niccolo Ciavarella
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Adrian Andreev M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Raffaele Ciurnelli M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Antonio Caruso M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Arnaboldi vs Niccolo Ciavarella?
Our model gives 80% to Federico Arnaboldi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.