Prediction: Maximilian Figl vs Alessandro Spadola
Team pages: Maximilian Figl
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximilian Figl
Alessandro Spadola
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maximilian Figl
4-6 (W-L)
Alessandro Spadola
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maximilian Figl
1–0
Alessandro Spadola
(1 last)
- 14 Apr2-1 11-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximilian Figl 1440 · Alessandro Spadola 1494
| Maximilian Figl | Alessandro Spadola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alessandro Spadola (rating 1440 vs 1494).
- Head-to-head: Maximilian Figl 1–0 Alessandro Spadola (1).
Statistics
| Maximilian Figl | Alessandro Spadola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.7 | 9.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 57% |
| Break % | 29.3% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Maximilian Figl 1 – 0 Alessandro Spadola (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maximilian Figl 1–0 Alessandro Spadola
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/25 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-1 | 11-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximilian Figl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Leonardo Iemmi M15 Nova Gorica |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Calvin Mueller M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Alessandro Spadola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | William Mirarchi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 19/04 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Mariano Tammaro M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/03 | Daniel Uta M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/02 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/01 | Daniel Uta M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximilian Figl vs Alessandro Spadola?
Our model gives 60% to Alessandro Spadola, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.