Tennis · UTR Pro Brisbane · 03/08, 01:00
Prediction: Marcus Schoeman vs Hayden Jones
Team pages: Hayden Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcus Schoeman
Hayden Jones
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marcus Schoeman
3-7 (W-L)
Hayden Jones
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcus Schoeman 1503 · Hayden Jones 1478
| Marcus Schoeman | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marcus Schoeman | Hayden Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.3 | 9.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 36.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcus Schoeman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Vitorio Sardinha UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Finley Dyer UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Charlie Pade UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Jonas Hahn UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 06/06 | Luka Vujacic UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/06 | Noah Brownrigg UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Omar Jasika UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Hayden Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Jeremy Zhang M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 22/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Asher Brownrigg M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/07 | Blake Ellis M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/11 | Ryuki Matsuda Challenger Playford · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/11 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Playford · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcus Schoeman vs Hayden Jones?
Our model gives 68% to Hayden Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.