Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 02/08, 22:00
Prediction: Andres Martin vs Alex Kobelt
Team pages: Andres Martin · Alex Kobelt
Prediction summary
Winner
Andres Martin
Alex Kobelt
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Andres Martin
6-4 (W-L)
Alex Kobelt
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andres Martin 1518 · Alex Kobelt 1389
| Andres Martin | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andres Martin (rating 1518 vs 1389).
- Andres Martin is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Alex Kobelt makes many double faults (8.2/match).
Statistics
| Andres Martin | Alex Kobelt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.4 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-13.3 | 8.8-12.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 8.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 74% |
| Break % | 38.7% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andres Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ugo Humbert ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Moez Echargui ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Alex Kobelt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Christian Langmo Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Vignesh Gogineni M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Blake Ellis M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 09/06 | Mikael Arseneault M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Reda Bennani Challenger Sarasota · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Keenan Mayo M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Branko Djuric M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Adam Jones M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/02 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Metepec · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andres Martin vs Alex Kobelt?
Our model gives 81% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.