Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 02/08, 17:30
Prediction: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Roger Pascual Ferra
Team pages: Roger Pascual Ferra
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Roger Pascual Ferra
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
5-5 (W-L)
Roger Pascual Ferra
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1521 · Roger Pascual Ferra 1573
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Roger Pascual Ferra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roger Pascual Ferra (rating 1521 vs 1573).
Statistics
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Roger Pascual Ferra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.4 | 12.2-7.8 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/04 | Mees Rottgering M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Alex Hernandez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/04 | Timo Legout M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/04 | Alan Sau Franco M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Roger Pascual Ferra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Aidan Mayo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Colton Smith ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/07 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Charles Bertimon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Roger Pascual Ferra?
Our model gives 54% to Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.