Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 02/08, 17:30
Prediction: Soonwoo Kwon vs Gavin Young
Team pages: Soonwoo Kwon · Gavin Young
Prediction summary
Winner
Soonwoo Kwon
Gavin Young
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Soonwoo Kwon
5-5 (W-L)
Gavin Young
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soonwoo Kwon 1549 · Gavin Young 1494
| Soonwoo Kwon | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soonwoo Kwon (rating 1549 vs 1494).
- Gavin Young dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Note: Soonwoo Kwon makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Soonwoo Kwon | Gavin Young | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.2 | 13.3-12.9 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 40% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soonwoo Kwon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Arthur Gea ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/06 | Martin Landaluce Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Arthur Gea Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Gavin Young
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Jack Anthrop M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Cooper Woestendick M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/07 | Richard Biagiotti Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Yassine Dlimi Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Aidan Kim M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Mitchell Krueger M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/07 | William Manning M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Luca Pow M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soonwoo Kwon vs Gavin Young?
Our model gives 71% to Soonwoo Kwon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.