Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 03/08, 16:00
Prediction: James McCabe vs Dusan Lajovic
Team pages: James McCabe · Dusan Lajovic
Prediction summary
Winner
James McCabe
Dusan Lajovic
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
James McCabe
2-8 (W-L)
Dusan Lajovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James McCabe 1449 · Dusan Lajovic 1491
| James McCabe | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Lajovic (rating 1449 vs 1491).
Statistics
| James McCabe | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.6 | 13.5-13.3 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 29% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James McCabe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Alex Bolt ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/07 | Duncan Chan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Jason Jung Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Roman Safiullin Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Rhys Lawlor Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Dusan Lajovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 24/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Lukas Neumayer Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Jurij Rodionov French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James McCabe vs Dusan Lajovic?
Our model gives 55% to Dusan Lajovic, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.