Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 03/08, 16:00
Prediction: Henry Searle vs Lloyd Harris
Team pages: Henry Searle · Lloyd Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Henry Searle
Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Searle
8-2 (W-L)
Lloyd Harris
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henry Searle 1638 · Lloyd Harris 1480
| Henry Searle | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Searle (rating 1638 vs 1480).
- Henry Searle dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 53.5% break avg.
- Henry Searle is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Henry Searle | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 90% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-9.2 | 10.4-11 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 14.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 81.4% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henry Searle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Moez Echargui Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Andrea Pellegrino French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Hugo Grenier French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/04 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/03 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Marrakech · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Marrakech · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Jerome Kym Challenger Lille · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henry Searle vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model gives 58% to Henry Searle, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.