Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 03/08, 16:00
Prediction: Federico Cina vs Elias Ymer
Team pages: Federico Cina · Elias Ymer
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Cina
Elias Ymer
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Cina
6-4 (W-L)
Elias Ymer
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Cina 1526 · Elias Ymer 1499
| Federico Cina | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Federico Cina | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (2) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.8 | 10.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 48.4% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Lorenzo Giustino ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Michalski ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Calvin Hemery ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Patrick Zahraj ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gianluca Cadenasso Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Elias Ymer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Niels Visker ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Mac Visser ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Cina vs Elias Ymer?
Our model gives 61% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.