Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 03/08, 16:00
Prediction: Edas Butvilas vs Tristan Boyer
Team pages: Edas Butvilas · Tristan Boyer
Prediction summary
Winner
Edas Butvilas
Tristan Boyer
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Edas Butvilas
5-5 (W-L)
Tristan Boyer
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Edas Butvilas
1–0
Tristan Boyer
(1 last)
- 28 Sept2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edas Butvilas 1424 · Tristan Boyer 1534
| Edas Butvilas | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Boyer (rating 1424 vs 1534).
- Tristan Boyer dominates on serve: 7 aces and 45.3% break avg.
- Tristan Boyer is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Edas Butvilas 1–0 Tristan Boyer (1).
Statistics
| Edas Butvilas | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.2 | 13.6-12 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Edas Butvilas 1 – 0 Tristan Boyer (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Edas Butvilas 1–0 Tristan Boyer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/24 Challenger Charleston | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edas Butvilas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Marc-Andrea Huesler ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Moez Echargui Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Alexander Bublik ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Tristan Boyer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Lorenzo Claverie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Nuno Borges Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-21 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edas Butvilas vs Tristan Boyer?
Our model gives 68% to Tristan Boyer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.