Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 03/08, 16:00
Prediction: Harry Wendelken vs Michael Mmoh
Team pages: Harry Wendelken · Michael Mmoh
Prediction summary
Winner
Harry Wendelken
Michael Mmoh
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Harry Wendelken
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Mmoh
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harry Wendelken 1456 · Michael Mmoh 1492
| Harry Wendelken | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Michael Mmoh makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Harry Wendelken | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 38% (8) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-14 | 10.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 20/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Adam Walton ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | James Watt Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 19/05 | Luka Pavlovic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Michael Mmoh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Timo Legout Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harry Wendelken vs Michael Mmoh?
Our model gives 57% to Michael Mmoh, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.