Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 03/08, 16:00

Prediction: Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Sebastian Gorzny

Team pages: Yu Hsiou Hsu · Sebastian Gorzny

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Yu Hsiou Hsu Sebastian Gorzny
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Hsiou Hsu 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLLWWLL
Sebastian Gorzny 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yu Hsiou Hsu 1473 · Sebastian Gorzny 1504
Yu Hsiou HsuSebastian Gorzny
Our model46%54%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yu Hsiou HsuSebastian Gorzny
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.1-1.2
Games (G-P)9.9-11.510.5-11.6
Aces1.44.1
Double faults3.33.8
1st serve %67.4%72.4%
Break %27.1%29.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/07 Toby Samuel
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
22/07 Mees Rottgering
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
21/07 Jay Friend
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Henry Searle
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
15/06 Yi Zhou
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
14/06 Vadym Ursu
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
06/06 Alexis Galarneau
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
1-2 14-16 L
04/06 Marco Trungelliti
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
1-2 8-15 L

Sebastian Gorzny

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Maxwell Exsted
M25 Edwardsville
0-2 1-8 L
21/07 Borna Gojo
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Gavin Young
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
19/07 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
14/07 Matthew Forbes
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
09/07 Landon Ardila
M25 Dallas
0-2 7-13 L
08/07 Joshua Sheehy
M25 Dallas
2-0 14-12 W
14/06 Ozan Baris
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
13/06 Enzo Aguiard
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
2-1 13-12 W
12/06 Kenta Miyoshi
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Sebastian Gorzny?

Our model gives 56% to Yu Hsiou Hsu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.