Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 03/08, 16:00
Prediction: Andy Andrade vs Andre Ilagan
Team pages: Andy Andrade · Andre Ilagan
Prediction summary
Winner
Andy Andrade
Andre Ilagan
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Andy Andrade
2-8 (W-L)
Andre Ilagan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andy Andrade 1440 · Andre Ilagan 1475
| Andy Andrade | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Andy Andrade | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.9 | 11.6-13 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexei Popyrin Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Ammar Elamin Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Timo Legout Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Jan Choinski French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Elmer Moller Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Remy Bertola ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Connor Plunkett Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Adam Walton Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andy Andrade vs Andre Ilagan?
Our model gives 56% to Andre Ilagan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.