Tennis · Challenger Lexington · 02/08, 22:00
Prediction: Tyler Zink vs Strong Kirchheimer
Team pages: Tyler Zink · Strong Kirchheimer
Prediction summary
Winner
Tyler Zink
Strong Kirchheimer
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tyler Zink
4-6 (W-L)
Strong Kirchheimer
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tyler Zink
1–1
Strong Kirchheimer
(2 last)
- 12 Nov1-2 17-19L
- 15 Sept2-1 19-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tyler Zink 1522 · Strong Kirchheimer 1463
| Tyler Zink | Strong Kirchheimer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tyler Zink (rating 1522 vs 1463).
- Tyler Zink dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 43.4% break avg.
- Tyler Zink is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tyler Zink | Strong Kirchheimer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.1 | 11.2-12.1 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Tyler Zink 1 – 1 Strong Kirchheimer (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tyler Zink 1–1 Strong Kirchheimer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/24 Challenger Champaign | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/09/24 Challenger Columbus | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | James Trotter Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Karl Poling Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 08/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Strong Kirchheimer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Kody Pearson Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Jay Friend M25 Laval |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Miko Lapalme M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Nathan Trouve M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/04 | Braden Shick Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 12/04 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tyler Zink vs Strong Kirchheimer?
Our model gives 68% to Tyler Zink, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.