Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/08, 09:30
Prediction: Petr Brunclik vs Lorenzo Carboni
Team pages: Petr Brunclik · Lorenzo Carboni
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Brunclik
Lorenzo Carboni
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Brunclik
6-4 (W-L)
Lorenzo Carboni
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Brunclik 1507 · Lorenzo Carboni 1530
| Petr Brunclik | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Petr Brunclik | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12.2 | 12.5-10 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 29.7% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Brunclik
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Jaime Faria Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/05 | Billy Harris Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/04 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Monza · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Lugano · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
Lorenzo Carboni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alessandro Dragoni M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/07 | Matteo Trombini M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/06 | Jelle Sels Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Li Tu Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 19/05 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Francesco Forti Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/05 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Brunclik vs Lorenzo Carboni?
Our model gives 55% to Petr Brunclik, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.