Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/08, 09:30
Prediction: Hernan Casanova vs Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Team pages: Hernan Casanova · Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Prediction summary
Winner
Hernan Casanova
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Hernan Casanova
8-2 (W-L)
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hernan Casanova 1545 · Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou 1471
| Hernan Casanova | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hernan Casanova (rating 1545 vs 1471).
- Hernan Casanova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hernan Casanova | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.2 | 11-11.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hernan Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Denia |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 23/07 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Bor Artnak M25 Pitesti |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Carles Rojas M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Robert Guna M25 Bacau |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 23/07 | Kabeer Kapasi M25 Bacau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/05 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Arthur Fery Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/05 | August Holmgren Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/05 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/05 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hernan Casanova vs Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou?
Our model gives 66% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.