Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/08, 09:30

Prediction: Emilien Demanet vs Alexander Vasilev

Team pages: Emilien Demanet · Alexander Vasilev

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Emilien Demanet Alexander Vasilev
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Emilien Demanet 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLLL
Alexander Vasilev 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLWLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Emilien Demanet 1486 · Alexander Vasilev 1518
Emilien DemanetAlexander Vasilev
Our model45%55%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Alexander Vasilev makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Emilien DemanetAlexander Vasilev
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (8) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.3-1
Games (G-P)11.3-11.211.1-9.6
Aces3.53.8
Double faults1.64.5
1st serve %60.9%71.9%
Break %37.1%36.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Emilien Demanet

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Ivan Gakhov
M25 Wetzlar
1-2 11-15 L
21/07 Raphael Perot
M25 Metzingen
0-2 6-12 L
08/07 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
06/07 Maxime Chazal
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 Yannik Kelm
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
01/07 Adan Freire Da Silva
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
30/06 Jack Loge
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
25/06 Harold Huens
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
24/06 Felix Romeo
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
17/06 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Royan · Clay
1-2 17-18 L

Alexander Vasilev

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Digvijay Pratap Singh
Challenger Segovia · Hard
1-2 10-15 L
19/07 Luca Castelnuovo
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Eliakim Coulibaly
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-1 13-8 W
24/06 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
23/06 Niels Visker
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
10/06 Andrea Guerrieri
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
09/06 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
31/05 Denis Klok
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
30/05 Simeon Stankovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Emilien Demanet vs Alexander Vasilev?

Our model gives 56% to Alexander Vasilev, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.