Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/08, 09:30
Prediction: Valerio Aboian vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Team pages: Valerio Aboian · Carlos Sanchez Jover
Prediction summary
Winner
Valerio Aboian
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Valerio Aboian
6-4 (W-L)
Carlos Sanchez Jover
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valerio Aboian 1494 · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1501
| Valerio Aboian | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Valerio Aboian | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.5 | 12.4-13.8 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valerio Aboian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Yannic Nittmann Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 02/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Facundo Mena Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 11/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Matej Dodig Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valerio Aboian vs Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Our model gives 58% to Carlos Sanchez Jover, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.