Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/08, 09:30
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Ognjen Milic
Team pages: Ivan Ivanov · Ognjen Milic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Ivanov
Ognjen Milic
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Ivanov
6-4 (W-L)
Ognjen Milic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1571 · Ognjen Milic 1589
| Ivan Ivanov | Ognjen Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ognjen Milic makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Ognjen Milic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.2 | 12.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 43.5% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Patrik Munkhammar M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Gustav Theilgaard M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 10/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Lui Maxted Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Dinko Dinev Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Ognjen Milic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Niksa Arsic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Milos Mikovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Jorge Plans M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Eero Vasa Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Ognjen Milic?
Our model gives 50% to Ivan Ivanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.