Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/08, 09:30
Prediction: Gabriele Piraino vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Team pages: Gabriele Piraino · Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Piraino
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Piraino
5-5 (W-L)
Carlo Alberto Caniato
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Piraino 1513 · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1448
| Gabriele Piraino | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gabriele Piraino (rating 1513 vs 1448).
- Gabriele Piraino is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Gabriele Piraino makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Gabriele Piraino | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-12.1 | 10.6-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 5 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Piraino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Jozef Kovalik Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 04/06 | Toby Martin M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/06 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Piraino vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?
Our model gives 54% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.