Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/08, 09:30
Prediction: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Samuele Pieri
Team pages: Pedro Boscardin Dias · Samuele Pieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Samuele Pieri
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Boscardin Dias
2-8 (W-L)
Samuele Pieri
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Boscardin Dias 1368 · Samuele Pieri 1491
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samuele Pieri (rating 1368 vs 1491).
- Pedro Boscardin Dias dominates on serve: 7 aces and 48.8% break avg.
- Samuele Pieri is in better form: 40% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | Samuele Pieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-13.6 | 11-12 |
| Aces | 7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Alexis Galarneau French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Moritz Kudernatsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Noel Larwig Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Samuele Pieri?
Our model gives 60% to Samuele Pieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.