Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 02/08, 15:30
Prediction: Dinko Dinev vs Valentin Basel
Team pages: Dinko Dinev · Valentin Basel
Prediction summary
Winner
Dinko Dinev
Valentin Basel
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Dinko Dinev
4-6 (W-L)
Valentin Basel
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dinko Dinev 1501 · Valentin Basel 1459
| Dinko Dinev | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinko Dinev (rating 1501 vs 1459).
- Note: Dinko Dinev makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Dinko Dinev | Valentin Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.5 | 10.2-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 61% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dinko Dinev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 05/07 | Zach Stephens Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Viktor Markov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 24/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Michael Geerts Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/04 | Drazen Petrovic UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/04 | Marko Nikolic UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Valentin Basel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Juan Estevez M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Salvador Price Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/05 | Benjamin Chelia Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/05 | Wilson Leite Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/04 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Campinas · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dinko Dinev vs Valentin Basel?
Our model gives 61% to Dinko Dinev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.