Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 02/08, 15:30
Prediction: Dominik Kellovsky vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Team pages: Dominik Kellovsky · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Dominik Kellovsky
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dominik Kellovsky
5-5 (W-L)
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dominik Kellovsky 1468 · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1498
| Dominik Kellovsky | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Joao Victor Couto Loureiro makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Dominik Kellovsky | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.4 | 10.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dominik Kellovsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Tomas Lanik M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/04 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/02 | Harry Wendelken M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Liam Hignett M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/02 | Toby Martin M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/02 | Sean Hodkin M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 16/01 | Alexandr Binda M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/01 | Yanki Erel M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/01 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 05/07 | Salvador Price Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Juan Bautista Otegui Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dominik Kellovsky vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro?
Our model gives 56% to Dominik Kellovsky, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.