Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · 04/08, 03:30
Prediction: Sage Bergeson vs Calla McGill
Team pages: Calla McGill
Prediction summary
Winner
Sage Bergeson
Calla McGill
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sage Bergeson
7-3 (W-L)
Calla McGill
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sage Bergeson 1525 · Calla McGill 1497
| Sage Bergeson | Calla McGill | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Calla McGill makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Sage Bergeson | Calla McGill | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-7.6 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 59% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sage Bergeson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Skylar Kasday UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Mila Mulready UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/07 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Nicole Weng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Kelly Shi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Tiffany Papazian UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/08 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Ariana Anazagasty-Pursoo UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Anastassiya Sharapova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Ella Piron UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Calla McGill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Alana Boyce UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Aryana Bartlett UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Ellie Myers UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sage Bergeson vs Calla McGill?
Our model gives 51% to Calla McGill, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.