Tennis · WTA Washington · 31/07, 21:00
Prediction: Diana Shnaider vs Ludmilla Samsonova
Team pages: Diana Shnaider · Ludmilla Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Diana Shnaider
Ludmilla Samsonova
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Diana Shnaider
5-5 (W-L)
Ludmilla Samsonova
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Diana Shnaider
2–1
Ludmilla Samsonova
(3 last)
- 02 Jul1-2 12-16L
- 11 Aug2-1 16-11W
- 09 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diana Shnaider 1501 · Ludmilla Samsonova 1505
| Diana Shnaider | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Diana Shnaider 2–1 Ludmilla Samsonova (3).
- Note: Ludmilla Samsonova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Diana Shnaider | Ludmilla Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.1 | 12.6-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
H2H · Diana Shnaider 2 – 1 Ludmilla Samsonova (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Diana Shnaider 2–1 Ludmilla Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/26 Wimbledon Women | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/08/24 WTA Toronto | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/05/24 WTA Rome | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diana Shnaider
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Eva Lys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/06 | Madison Keys French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Oleksandra Oliynykova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/05 | McCartney Kessler French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Ludmilla Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Xinyu Wang WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/07 | Madison Keys WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/07 | Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Diana Shnaider Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Harriet Dart WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/05 | Jil Teichmann French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diana Shnaider vs Ludmilla Samsonova?
Our model gives 52% to Diana Shnaider, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.