Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 31/07, 16:00
Prediction: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzetti
Team pages: Sara Sorribes Tormo · Lucia Bronzetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Sorribes Tormo
6-4 (W-L)
Lucia Bronzetti
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Sorribes Tormo 1526 · Lucia Bronzetti 1602
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Bronzetti (rating 1526 vs 1602).
Statistics
| Sara Sorribes Tormo | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.8 | 11.4-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Sorribes Tormo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Alina Charaeva WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Lucia Bronzetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Ilary Pistola WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Our model gives 51% to Lucia Bronzetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.