Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 31/07, 12:30
Prediction: Francesca Jones vs Alice Rame
Team pages: Francesca Jones · Alice Rame
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Jones
Alice Rame
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Jones
8-2 (W-L)
Alice Rame
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Jones
1–0
Alice Rame
(1 last)
- 07 Jul2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Jones 1656 · Alice Rame 1487
| Francesca Jones | Alice Rame | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Jones (rating 1656 vs 1487).
- Francesca Jones is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Francesca Jones 1–0 Alice Rame (1).
Statistics
| Francesca Jones | Alice Rame | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-7 | 9.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 64.9% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Francesca Jones 1 – 0 Alice Rame (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Jones 1–0 Alice Rame
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 WTA Contrexeville | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Darya Astakhova WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Alice Rame
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Margaux Rouvroy WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Julie Struplova WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 23/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Anastasia Tikhonova WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Diletta Cherubini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Emily Seibold W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Jones vs Alice Rame?
Our model gives 79% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.