Tennis · WTA Targu Mures · 31/07, 11:00
Prediction: Laura Samsonova vs Mia Ristic
Team pages: Laura Samsonova · Mia Ristic
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Samsonova
Mia Ristic
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Samsonova
4-6 (W-L)
Mia Ristic
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Laura Samsonova
0–1
Mia Ristic
(1 last)
- 23 Aug0-2 0-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Samsonova 1514 · Mia Ristic 1577
| Laura Samsonova | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Ristic (rating 1514 vs 1577).
- Mia Ristic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Laura Samsonova 0–1 Mia Ristic (1).
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Laura Samsonova | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.4 | 11.7-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Laura Samsonova 0 – 1 Mia Ristic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Laura Samsonova 0–1 Mia Ristic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/23 ITF W60 Prerov | 0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Samsonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Alesia Breaz WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Maya Joint WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Mia Ristic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Nuria Brancaccio W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Viola Turini W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Gabriela Ce W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Tatiana Pieri W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Gaia Maduzzi W75 Cordenons |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/07 | Mia Pohankova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Samsonova vs Mia Ristic?
Our model gives 53% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.