Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 30/07, 20:30
Prediction: Emerson Jones vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Team pages: Emerson Jones · Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Prediction summary
Winner
Emerson Jones
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Emerson Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emerson Jones
0–1
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
(1 last)
- 03 May0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emerson Jones 1480 · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1551
| Emerson Jones | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mananchaya Sawangkaew (rating 1480 vs 1551).
- Mananchaya Sawangkaew is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Emerson Jones 0–1 Mananchaya Sawangkaew (1).
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Emerson Jones | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-13.2 | 10.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 7.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
H2H · Emerson Jones 0 – 1 Mananchaya Sawangkaew (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emerson Jones 0–1 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 W100 Gifu | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emerson Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Madison Brengle WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Linda Fruhvirtova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Dalma Galfi WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 02/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Taylah Preston W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 28/07 | En Shuo Liang WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Sara Saito W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Lea Ma WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emerson Jones vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew?
Our model gives 57% to Mananchaya Sawangkaew, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.