Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 30/07, 20:30
Prediction: Moyuka Uchijima vs Maddison Inglis
Team pages: Moyuka Uchijima · Maddison Inglis
Prediction summary
Winner
Moyuka Uchijima
Maddison Inglis
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Moyuka Uchijima
1-9 (W-L)
Maddison Inglis
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Moyuka Uchijima
1–0
Maddison Inglis
(1 last)
- 02 May2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moyuka Uchijima 1439 · Maddison Inglis 1491
| Moyuka Uchijima | Maddison Inglis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maddison Inglis (rating 1439 vs 1491).
- Head-to-head: Moyuka Uchijima 1–0 Maddison Inglis (1).
- Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Moyuka Uchijima | Maddison Inglis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 14% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.4 | 9.9-11.7 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Moyuka Uchijima 1 – 0 Maddison Inglis (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moyuka Uchijima 1–0 Maddison Inglis
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/24 W100 Gifu | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moyuka Uchijima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Miho Kuramochi WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Alycia Parks WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Kaja Juvan WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/05 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Maddison Inglis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Hanyu Guo WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Alycia Parks WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/06 | Celine Naef WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Robin Montgomery French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Ena Koike W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moyuka Uchijima vs Maddison Inglis?
Our model gives 50% to Moyuka Uchijima, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.