Tennis · M25 Wetzlar · 30/07, 11:30

Prediction: Ivan Gakhov vs Nikolai Barsukov

Team pages: Ivan Gakhov · Nikolai Barsukov

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Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Ivan Gakhov Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Gakhov 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLLW
Nikolai Barsukov 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivan Gakhov 1476 · Nikolai Barsukov 1492
Ivan GakhovNikolai Barsukov
Our model48%52%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Ivan Gakhov makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Ivan GakhovNikolai Barsukov
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51-1.2
Games (G-P)10.7-12.210.2-10.8
Aces55.4
Double faults4.12.8
1st serve %72.9%66%
Break %27.6%39.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivan Gakhov

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Emilien Demanet
M25 Wetzlar
2-1 15-11 W
15/07 Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M25 Gandia
0-2 9-13 L
27/04 Gijs Brouwer
Challenger Shymkent · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
21/04 Zangar Nurlanuly
Challenger Shymkent · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/04 Pol Martin Tiffon
Challenger Menorca · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
01/04 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Menorca · Clay
2-1 15-9 W
17/03 Christoph Negritu
Challenger Murcia · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
01/03 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Thionville · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/02 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Lugano · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
24/02 Gabriele Piraino
Challenger Lugano · Hard
2-1 15-14 W

Nikolai Barsukov

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Edison Ambarzumjan
M25 Wetzlar
2-1 16-14 W
17/07 Tomasz Berkieta
M15 Uslar
0-2 6-12 L
16/07 Isac Stroemberg
M15 Uslar
2-0 13-7 W
09/07 Matthew William Donald
M25 Kassel
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Matteo Fondriest
M25 Kassel
2-1 18-12 W
23/06 Michel Hopp
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
19/06 Pieter De Lange
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
18/06 Manvydas Balciunas
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Lasse Poertner
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-0 7-6 W
09/06 Lilian Marmousez
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivan Gakhov vs Nikolai Barsukov?

Our model gives 60% to Ivan Gakhov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.