Tennis · M25 Wetzlar · 31/07, 12:00
Prediction: Nikolai Barsukov vs Filip Krolo
Team pages: Nikolai Barsukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikolai Barsukov
Filip Krolo
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nikolai Barsukov
5-5 (W-L)
Filip Krolo
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolai Barsukov 1516 · Filip Krolo 1480
| Nikolai Barsukov | Filip Krolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Filip Krolo makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Nikolai Barsukov | Filip Krolo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.7 | 10.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 48% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Edison Ambarzumjan M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matteo Fondriest M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Lasse Poertner M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
Filip Krolo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Tim Handel M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Gregor Hausberger M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 03/03 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/02 | Amir Omarkhanov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/02 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 04/02 | Massimo Giunta M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/02 | Octave Caillat M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 9-10 | L |
| 27/08 | Gregor Ramskogler ITF M15 Vienna · Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 20/08 | Stijn Slump ITF M15 Huy · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolai Barsukov vs Filip Krolo?
Our model gives 67% to Nikolai Barsukov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.