Tennis · M25 Wetzlar · 31/07, 15:00
Prediction: Tom Sickenberger vs Yannik Kelm
Team pages: Tom Sickenberger · Yannik Kelm
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Sickenberger
Yannik Kelm
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Sickenberger
4-6 (W-L)
Yannik Kelm
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Sickenberger 1495 · Yannik Kelm 1582
| Tom Sickenberger | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yannik Kelm (rating 1495 vs 1582).
- Yannik Kelm is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Tom Sickenberger makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Tom Sickenberger | Yannik Kelm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.6 | 12.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Sickenberger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Neo Niedner M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/07 | Jesse De Jager M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Emil Rast M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Vincent Marysko M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Oliver Majdandzic M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Alec Beckley M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Hanu Patel M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yannik Kelm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | David Eichenseher M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Verbeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dax Donders M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Sickenberger vs Yannik Kelm?
Our model gives 77% to Yannik Kelm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.