Tennis · M25 Wetzlar · 30/07, 11:30
Prediction: Yannik Kelm vs Aaron Funk
Team pages: Yannik Kelm · Aaron Funk
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannik Kelm
Aaron Funk
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yannik Kelm
8-2 (W-L)
Aaron Funk
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannik Kelm 1585 · Aaron Funk 1497
| Yannik Kelm | Aaron Funk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yannik Kelm (rating 1585 vs 1497).
- Yannik Kelm is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Aaron Funk makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Yannik Kelm | Aaron Funk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.3 | 10.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannik Kelm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/07 | David Eichenseher M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Daniel Verbeek M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dax Donders M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Jannik Opitz M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Aaron Funk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Marat Sharipov M25 Wetzlar |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 22/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jesse De Jager M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Kenny de Schepper M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/05 | David Eichenseher M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/05 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/05 | Amr Asrawy M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/05 | Arjun Rathi M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannik Kelm vs Aaron Funk?
Our model gives 70% to Yannik Kelm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.