Tennis · W35 Florence · 30/07, 16:00
Prediction: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Annika Penickova
Team pages: Carmen Andreea Herea · Annika Penickova
Prediction summary
Winner
Carmen Andreea Herea
Annika Penickova
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Carmen Andreea Herea
6-4 (W-L)
Annika Penickova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carmen Andreea Herea 1521 · Annika Penickova 1468
| Carmen Andreea Herea | Annika Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carmen Andreea Herea (rating 1521 vs 1468).
- Note: Carmen Andreea Herea makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Carmen Andreea Herea | Annika Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-12.2 | 11.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carmen Andreea Herea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Tatum Evans W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Sara Victoria Balan W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Sandra Samir W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Nina Vargova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Rikke De Koning W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Annika Penickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Florence |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Carolina Gomez W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Xin Tong Wang W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Luiza Fullana W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/04 | Maria Lourdes Carle W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/04 | Welles Newman W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carmen Andreea Herea vs Annika Penickova?
Our model gives 64% to Carmen Andreea Herea, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.