Tennis · W35 Florence · 31/07, 14:30
Prediction: Annika Penickova vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Team pages: Annika Penickova · Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Prediction summary
Winner
Annika Penickova
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Annika Penickova
6-4 (W-L)
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Annika Penickova 1479 · Ekaterina Khayrutdinova 1540
| Annika Penickova | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Khayrutdinova (rating 1479 vs 1540).
- Note: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Annika Penickova | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.1 | 11.4-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annika Penickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Florence |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Carolina Gomez W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Xin Tong Wang W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Luiza Fullana W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/04 | Maria Lourdes Carle W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/04 | Welles Newman W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Brandelyn Fulgenzi W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Chukwumelije Clarke W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Olivia Lincer W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Madison Brengle W35 Rome |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Annika Penickova vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova?
Our model gives 65% to Ekaterina Khayrutdinova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.