Tennis · W35 Florence · 30/07, 15:00
Prediction: Antonia Rivera vs Mayu Crossley
Team pages: Antonia Rivera · Mayu Crossley
Prediction summary
Winner
Antonia Rivera
Mayu Crossley
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Antonia Rivera
7-3 (W-L)
Mayu Crossley
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antonia Rivera 1576 · Mayu Crossley 1592
| Antonia Rivera | Mayu Crossley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mayu Crossley makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Antonia Rivera | Mayu Crossley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-7.9 | 13-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 64.6% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antonia Rivera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Krisha Mahendran W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Taylor Gruber W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chiara Di Genova W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Jennifer Rosa Dourado W15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Leyla Fiorella Britez Risso W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Josefina Estevez W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Alisa Danilova W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin W15 Luque · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Mayu Crossley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Claire Hill W35 Florence |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/07 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Dasha Plekhanova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Yulia Zhytelna W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/05 | Tatum Evans W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antonia Rivera vs Mayu Crossley?
Our model gives 68% to Mayu Crossley, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.