Tennis · M25 Wetzlar · 30/07, 11:30

Prediction: Neo Niedner vs Tom Sickenberger

Team pages: Neo Niedner · Tom Sickenberger

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Neo Niedner Tom Sickenberger
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Neo Niedner 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWWWLWLW
Tom Sickenberger 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Neo Niedner 1575 · Tom Sickenberger 1502
Neo NiednerTom Sickenberger
Our model60%40%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neo Niedner (rating 1575 vs 1502).
  • Neo Niedner is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Neo Niedner makes many double faults (5.7/match).
  • Note: Tom Sickenberger makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Neo NiednerTom Sickenberger
Win %80%50%
Win % · Hard 86% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.51.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.7-7.89.9-9.7
Aces11.9
Double faults5.75.1
1st serve %72.7%63.9%
Break %43.3%58.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Neo Niedner

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Kaspar Mathes
M25 Wetzlar
2-1 15-11 W
15/07 Jonas Kucera
M15 Uslar
1-2 8-13 L
14/07 Lenn Stueckrath
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-3 W
19/06 Spencer Johnson
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
18/06 Nathan Cox
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
18/06 Matt Kuhar
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Nicholas Godsick
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
04/06 Jean Baptiste Badon
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/06 Reece Falck
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
02/06 Vit Kalina
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Tom Sickenberger

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Jesse De Jager
M25 Wetzlar
2-0 12-7 W
28/07 Emil Rast
M25 Wetzlar
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Vincent Marysko
M15 Uslar
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Kassel
1-2 15-17 L
02/07 Oliver Majdandzic
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
30/06 Alec Beckley
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
24/06 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Hanu Patel
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/06 Marcel Volz
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Neo Niedner vs Tom Sickenberger?

Our model gives 67% to Neo Niedner, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.