Tennis · M25 Wetzlar · 30/07, 10:00
Prediction: Murkel Dellien vs Lars Goran Verwerft
Team pages: Murkel Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Murkel Dellien
Lars Goran Verwerft
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Murkel Dellien
4-6 (W-L)
Lars Goran Verwerft
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Murkel Dellien 1514 · Lars Goran Verwerft 1548
| Murkel Dellien | Lars Goran Verwerft | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lars Goran Verwerft makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Murkel Dellien | Lars Goran Verwerft | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10 | 12-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Murkel Dellien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Jip Van Assendelft M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Jose Pereira M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Victor Bini M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Enzo Lima M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Tomas Martinez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/05 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Lars Goran Verwerft
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Arian Barbic M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Dennis Andre Dutine M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | S Mert Ozdemir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Charlie Penman UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Calin Teodor Stirbu UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Jake Dembo UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Milan Markovits UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/05 | Ramazan Kaan Oktay M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Murkel Dellien vs Lars Goran Verwerft?
Our model gives 64% to Murkel Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.