Tennis · W35 Florence · 29/07, 16:00
Prediction: Ava Catanzarite vs Annika Penickova
Team pages: Ava Catanzarite
Prediction summary
Winner
Ava Catanzarite
Annika Penickova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ava Catanzarite
2-8 (W-L)
Annika Penickova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ava Catanzarite
0–1
Annika Penickova
(1 last)
- 27 May1-2 8-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ava Catanzarite 1482 · Annika Penickova 1464
| Ava Catanzarite | Annika Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ava Catanzarite 0–1 Annika Penickova (1).
Statistics
| Ava Catanzarite | Annika Penickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-10.3 | 11.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 55.1% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Ava Catanzarite 0 – 1 Annika Penickova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ava Catanzarite 0–1 Annika Penickova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 W35 Wichita | 1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ava Catanzarite
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Emery Combs W35 Florence |
1-0 | 7-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova W35 Rome |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Kolie Allen W35 Rome |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Annika Penickova W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Michaela Eddins W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Kallista Liu W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/04 | Daria Egorova W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Arianna Zucchini W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Lucy King Oyebog Atang W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/03 | Chenting Zhu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Annika Penickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Carolina Gomez W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 30/05 | Xin Tong Wang W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Carson Tanguilig W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Luiza Fullana W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 28/04 | Maria Lourdes Carle W100 Bonita Springs · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/04 | Welles Newman W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/04 | Yael Saffar W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ava Catanzarite vs Annika Penickova?
Our model gives 62% to Annika Penickova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.