Tennis · WTA Vancouver · 29/07, 23:30
Prediction: Nao Hibino vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Team pages: Nao Hibino · Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Prediction summary
Winner
Nao Hibino
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Nao Hibino
6-4 (W-L)
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nao Hibino
1–2
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
(3 last)
- 23 Apr0-2 3-12L
- 12 Oct2-1 16-14W
- 23 Sept1-2 10-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nao Hibino 1503 · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1595
| Nao Hibino | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mananchaya Sawangkaew (rating 1503 vs 1595).
- Head-to-head: Nao Hibino 1–2 Mananchaya Sawangkaew (3).
Statistics
| Nao Hibino | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.7 | 10.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Nao Hibino 1 – 2 Mananchaya Sawangkaew (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nao Hibino 1–2 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 W100 Tokyo | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10/24 WTA Osaka | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/09/24 WTA Beijing | 1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nao Hibino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Teah Chavez WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Miriana Tona WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucie Havlickova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Iveta Dapkute W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Priscilla Hon Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | En Shuo Liang WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Sara Saito W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Lea Ma WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nao Hibino vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew?
Our model gives 64% to Mananchaya Sawangkaew, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.