Tennis · M25 Edwardsville · 29/07, 17:00

Prediction: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Karim Bennani

Team pages: Hiroki Sakagawa · Karim Bennani

Prediction summary
Winner
28% 72%
Hiroki Sakagawa Karim Bennani
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroki Sakagawa 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLLWLWLW
Karim Bennani 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hiroki Sakagawa 1524 · Karim Bennani 1549
Hiroki SakagawaKarim Bennani
Our model46%54%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Hiroki SakagawaKarim Bennani
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91.5-0.7
Games (G-P)8.1-8.211.5-8.8
Aces11.7
Double faults1.42.5
1st serve %57.9%64.3%
Break %44.7%51%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hiroki Sakagawa

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/07 Rohan Belday
M25 Edwardsville
2-0 10-3 W
22/07 Ilyas Milad Fahim
M25 Champaign
0-2 6-12 L
21/07 Tygen Goldammer
M25 Champaign
2-0 12-5 W
09/07 Emon Van Loben Sels
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 0-12 L
08/07 Roshan Santhosh
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Constantinos Djakouris
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
2-1 11-9 W
25/06 Aidan Kim
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Roshan Santhosh
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
23/06 Nathan Cox
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 9-6 W
16/12 Ilya Snitari
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Karim Bennani

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/07 William Jansen
M25 Champaign
1-2 14-16 L
23/07 Maximillian Mroz
M25 Champaign
2-0 12-6 W
22/07 Jerry Roddick
M25 Champaign
2-1 12-12 W
03/07 Massimo Giunta
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
02/07 Denis Klok
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
01/07 Madhwin Kamath
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/06 Yassine Dlimi
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
27/06 Sean Cuenin
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
26/06 Johan Nikles
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
25/06 Amine Jamji
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hiroki Sakagawa vs Karim Bennani?

Our model gives 72% to Karim Bennani, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.